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Toss-up · 2000 Senate
Nevada Senate
In the 2000 Nevada Senate race, John Ensign (R) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
R+15.4
Final polls said
R+14.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+16.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+17.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+17.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+9.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mellman Group | R+4.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Harris Insights & Analytics2000-11-036
SurveyUSA2000-10-311
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2000-10-272
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2000-10-232
SurveyUSA2000-10-088
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2000 Nevada Senate race?
John Ensign (R) won, by about 15.4 points (R+15.4).
When was the 2000 Nevada Senate election held?
It was held in November 2000.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.