Actual result
R+15.4
Final polls said
R+14.8
4 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+16.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+17.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+17.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+9.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Mellman Group | R+4.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
Polls (8)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1833 | R+9.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-31 | 500 | R+16.0 | 1 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-27 | 625 | R+17.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-23 | 817 | R+17.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-08 | 500 | R+7.0 | 8 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-24 | 500 | R+7.0 | 8 |
| Mellman Group | 2000-09-17 | 500 | R+4.0 | 11 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-09-15 | 625 | R+11.0 | 4 |