Actual result
R+15.7
Final polls said
R+22.3
3 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fleming & Associates | R+16.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+17.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Brown University A. Alfred Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy | R+24.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+26.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
Polls (4)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-29 | 500 | R+26.0 | 10 |
| Brown University A. Alfred Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy | 2000-10-21 | 370 | R+24.0 | 8 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-19 | 802 | R+17.0 | 1 |
| Fleming & Associates | 2000-10-12 | 408 | R+16.0 | 0 |