Actual result
R+34.1
Final polls said
R+34.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+32.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+37.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+40.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
Polls (5)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1638 | R+32.0 | 2 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-24 | 918 | R+37.0 | 3 |
| Dan Jones & Associates | 2000-10-11 | 914 | R+40.0 | 6 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-09-27 | 708 | R+41.0 | 7 |
| Dan Jones & Associates | 2000-09-15 | 679 | R+33.0 | 1 |