Actual result
D+0.1
Final polls said
R+1.9
10 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | R+2.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+2.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | Elway Research | R+3.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 4 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+4.0 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | EMC Research | R+4.0 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | D+5.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Mellman Group | D+5.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
Polls (14)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-11-05 | 909 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-05 | 504 | D+5.0 | 5 |
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 6542 | R+2.0 | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-11-02 | 500 | R+2.0 | 2 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-31 | 500 | R+2.0 | 2 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-30 | 500 | R+1.0 | 1 |
| Zogby Analytics | 2000-10-27 | 500 | R+2.0 | 2 |
| EMC Research | 2000-10-21 | 500 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| Elway Research | 2000-10-19 | 400 | R+3.0 | 3 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-15 | 500 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-10-01 | 500 | EVEN | 0 |
| SurveyUSA | 2000-09-20 | 500 | EVEN | 0 |
| Mellman Group | 2000-09-17 | 800 | D+5.0 | 5 |
| Elway Research | 2000-09-15 | 400 | R+1.0 | 1 |