Actual result
D+57.6
Final polls said
D+59.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harris Insights & Analytics | D+58.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+61.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Insights & Analytics | 2000-11-03 | 1683 | D+58.0 | 0 |
| Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | 2000-10-18 | 1036 | D+61.0 | 3 |