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Toss-up · 2002 House
Arkansas House
In the 2002 Arkansas House race, Michael Avery Ross (D) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
D+21.1
Final polls said
D+15.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+16.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Opinion Research Associates | D+15.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Opinion Research Associates2002-10-236
Zogby Analytics2002-10-095
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Arkansas House race?
Michael Avery Ross (D) won, by about 21.1 points (D+21.1).
When was the 2002 Arkansas House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.