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Toss-up · 2002 House
Connecticut House
In the 2002 Connecticut House race, Nancy L. Johnson (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+11.0
Final polls said
R+17.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Connecticut | R+17.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Quinnipiac University | R+18.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | GQR | EVEN | 11.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Connecticut2002-10-286
Quinnipiac University2002-10-107
GQR2002-10-0611
University of Connecticut2002-10-045
University of Connecticut2002-09-116
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Connecticut House race?
Nancy L. Johnson (R) won, by about 11.0 points (R+11.0).
When was the 2002 Connecticut House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.