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Toss-up · 2002 House
Indiana House
In the 2002 Indiana House race, Julia M. Carson (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+9.0
Final polls said
D+5.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana University Public Opinion Laboratory | D+9.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+5.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | TeleResearch Corporation | D+14.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Shares Corp. | D+1.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Market Shares Corp.2002-10-298
Indiana University Public Opinion Laboratory2002-10-240
Public Opinion Strategies2002-10-024
TeleResearch Corporation2002-09-235
Market Shares Corp.2002-09-225
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Indiana House race?
Julia M. Carson (D) won, by about 9.0 points (D+9.0).
When was the 2002 Indiana House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.