Actual result
D+0.6
Final polls said
R+8.5
2 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 8.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+9.0 | 9.6 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2002-12-02 | 400 | R+8.0 | 9 |
| Public Opinion Strategies | 2002-11-11 | 400 | R+9.0 | 10 |