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Toss-up · 2002 House
Maryland House
In the 2002 Maryland House race, C.A. Dutch Ruppersberger (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+8.6
Final polls said
D+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potomac Incorporated | D+9.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+4.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Potomac Incorporated2002-10-270
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2002-10-175
Potomac Incorporated2002-09-2611
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Maryland House race?
C.A. Dutch Ruppersberger (D) won, by about 8.6 points (D+8.6).
When was the 2002 Maryland House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.