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Toss-up · 2002 House
Maryland House
In the 2002 Maryland House race, Chris Van Hollen (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.2
Final polls said
R+2.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cooper & Secrest | D+10.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | R+2.0 | 6.2 | ✗ |
| 3 | Potomac Incorporated | R+3.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Potomac Incorporated2002-10-277
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2002-10-176
Potomac Incorporated2002-09-261
Cooper & Secrest2002-09-256
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Maryland House race?
Chris Van Hollen (D) won, by about 4.2 points (D+4.2).
When was the 2002 Maryland House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.