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Toss-up · 2002 House
Maryland House
In the 2002 Maryland House race, Chris Van Hollen (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.2
Final polls said
R+2.5
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cooper & Secrest | D+10.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | R+2.0 | 6.2 | ✗ |
| 3 | Potomac Incorporated | R+3.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Potomac Incorporated2002-10-277
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2002-10-176
Potomac Incorporated2002-09-261
Cooper & Secrest2002-09-256
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Maryland House race?
Chris Van Hollen (D) won, by about 4.2 points (D+4.2).
When was the 2002 Maryland House election held?
It was held in November 2002.