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Toss-up · 2002 House
Maine House
In the 2002 Maine House race, Michael H. Michaud (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.0
Final polls said
D+5.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | D+1.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Digital Research | D+9.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Pan Atlantic Research | D+10.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+12.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+6.0 | 10.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Pan Atlantic Research2002-10-266
RKM Research and Communications Inc.2002-10-253
Public Opinion Strategies2002-10-0910
Normington, Petts & Associates2002-09-228
Digital Research2002-09-195
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Maine House race?
Michael H. Michaud (D) won, by about 4.0 points (D+4.0).
When was the 2002 Maine House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.