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Toss-up · 2002 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2002 New Hampshire House race, Jeb E. Bradley (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+19.6
Final polls said
R+11.6
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+11.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Becker Institute | R+8.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | R+7.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+6.0 | 13.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Lake Research Partners | D+2.0 | 21.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
American Research Group2002-11-029
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2002-11-0114
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2002-10-2913
American Research Group2002-10-2910
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2002-10-262
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 New Hampshire House race?
Jeb E. Bradley (R) won, by about 19.6 points (R+19.6).
When was the 2002 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.