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Toss-up · 2002 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2002 New Hampshire House race, Charles Bass (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+15.9
Final polls said
R+19.0
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarrance Group | R+15.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | R+19.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | R+22.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Becker Institute | R+22.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+30.0 | 14.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
American Research Group2002-11-026
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2002-11-0114
Tarrance Group2002-10-291
American Research Group2002-10-291
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2002-10-263
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 New Hampshire House race?
Charles Bass (R) won, by about 15.9 points (R+15.9).
When was the 2002 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.