Actual result
R+18.8
Final polls said
R+32.5
2 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Research Partners | R+8.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of South Alabama Polling Group | R+30.0 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Alabama at Birmingham | R+35.0 | 16.3 | ✓ |
Polls (4)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Alabama at Birmingham | 2002-10-30 | 600 | R+35.0 | 16 |
| University of South Alabama Polling Group | 2002-10-23 | 926 | R+30.0 | 11 |
| University of Alabama at Birmingham | 2002-09-11 | 600 | R+28.0 | 9 |
| Lake Research Partners | 2002-09-09 | 500 | R+8.0 | 11 |