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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Illinois Senate
In the 2002 Illinois Senate race, Richard J. Durbin (D) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
D+22.3
Final polls said
D+20.9
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Day Research | D+21.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+24.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+24.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Shares Corp. | D+20.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+19.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Illinois Wesleyan University Department of Political Science | D+18.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-10-312
SurveyUSA2002-10-293
Market Shares Corp.2002-10-262
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-222
SurveyUSA2002-10-222
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Illinois Senate race?
Richard J. Durbin (D) won, by about 22.3 points (D+22.3).
When was the 2002 Illinois Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.