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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Illinois Senate
In the 2002 Illinois Senate race, Richard J. Durbin (D) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
D+22.3
Final polls said
D+20.9
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Day Research | D+21.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+24.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+24.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Shares Corp. | D+20.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | D+19.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Illinois Wesleyan University Department of Political Science | D+18.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-10-312
SurveyUSA2002-10-293
Market Shares Corp.2002-10-262
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-222
SurveyUSA2002-10-222
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Illinois Senate race?
Richard J. Durbin (D) won, by about 22.3 points (D+22.3).
When was the 2002 Illinois Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.