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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Kentucky Senate
In the 2002 Kentucky Senate race, Mitch McConnell (R) won by about 29 points.
Actual result
R+29.4
Final polls said
R+36.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+37.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2002-10-298
SurveyUSA2002-10-156
SurveyUSA2002-10-011
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Kentucky Senate race?
Mitch McConnell (R) won, by about 29.4 points (R+29.4).
When was the 2002 Kentucky Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.