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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Missouri Senate
In the 2002 Missouri Senate race, Jim Talent (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.1
Final polls said
R+3.3
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gallup | R+4.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | Market Research Institute Inc. | R+5.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Zogby Analytics | R+7.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | American Viewpoint | R+7.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2002-11-036
SurveyUSA2002-11-023
Gallup2002-11-013
Zogby Analytics2002-10-311
American Viewpoint2002-10-286
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Missouri Senate race?
Jim Talent (R) won, by about 1.1 points (R+1.1).
When was the 2002 Missouri Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.