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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Montana Senate
In the 2002 Montana Senate race, Max Baucus (D) won by about 31 points.
Actual result
D+31.0
Final polls said
D+31.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+31.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | D+33.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-10-230
Montana State University Billings2002-10-122
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2002-09-2512
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Montana Senate race?
Max Baucus (D) won, by about 31.0 points (D+31.0).
When was the 2002 Montana Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.