Actual result
D+31.0
Final polls said
D+31.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+31.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Montana State University Billings | D+33.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
Polls (3)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2002-10-23 | 625 | D+31.0 | 0 |
| Montana State University Billings | 2002-10-12 | 415 | D+33.0 | 2 |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2002-09-25 | 625 | D+19.0 | 12 |