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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
New Hampshire Senate
In the 2002 New Hampshire Senate race, John E. Sununu (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+4.4
Final polls said
D+0.2
10 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Research Group | R+4.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+1.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/McLaughlin & Associates | EVEN | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 4 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+1.8 | 6.2 | ✗ |
| 5 | GQR | D+2.0 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 6 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | D+5.0 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 7 | Becker Institute | D+6.0 | 10.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Opinion Strategies2002-11-036
American Research Group2002-11-020
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2002-11-013
Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication2002-10-299
American Research Group2002-10-292
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 New Hampshire Senate race?
John E. Sununu (R) won, by about 4.4 points (R+4.4).
When was the 2002 New Hampshire Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.