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Toss-up · 2002 Senate
Oregon Senate
In the 2002 Oregon Senate race, Gordon H. Smith (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+16.6
Final polls said
R+19.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moore Information Group | R+17.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | DHM Research | R+19.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Riley Research Associates | R+22.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DHM Research2002-10-272
Riley Research Associates2002-10-255
Riley Research Associates2002-10-161
DHM Research2002-10-044
Riley Research Associates2002-09-254
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2002 Oregon Senate race?
Gordon H. Smith (R) won, by about 16.6 points (R+16.6).
When was the 2002 Oregon Senate election held?
It was held in November 2002.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.