Actual result
D+56.9
Final polls said
D+47.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fleming & Associates | D+59.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Brown University A. Alfred Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy | D+47.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown University A. Alfred Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy | 2002-10-20 | 418 | D+47.0 | 10 |
| Fleming & Associates | 2002-09-14 | 405 | D+59.0 | 2 |