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Toss-up · 2003 Governor
Kentucky Governor
In the 2003 Kentucky Governor race, Ernest Lee Fletcher (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+10.1
Final polls said
R+7.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville Courier-Journal | R+10.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | R+9.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | R+8.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2003-10-312
SurveyUSA2003-10-263
Ipsos2003-10-221
Louisville Courier-Journal2003-10-220
SurveyUSA2003-10-199
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2003 Kentucky Governor race?
Ernest Lee Fletcher (R) won, by about 10.1 points (R+10.1).
When was the 2003 Kentucky Governor election held?
It was held in November 2003.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.