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Toss-up · 2004 Governor

Missouri Governor

In the 2004 Missouri Governor race, Matt Blunt (R) won by about 3 points.

Actual result
R+3.0
Final polls said
R+3.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Market Research Institute Inc.R+1.02.0✓
2SurveyUSAEVEN3.0✗

The polls behind it

6 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-303
SurveyUSA2004-10-245
Market Research Institute Inc.2004-10-242
SurveyUSA2004-10-173
SurveyUSA2004-10-032

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2004 Missouri Governor race?

Matt Blunt (R) won, by about 3.0 points (R+3.0).

When was the 2004 Missouri Governor election held?

It was held in November 2004.

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