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Toss-up · 2004 Governor
Missouri Governor
In the 2004 Missouri Governor race, Matt Blunt (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+3.0
Final polls said
R+3.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Market Research Institute Inc. | R+1.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | EVEN | 3.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-303
SurveyUSA2004-10-245
Market Research Institute Inc.2004-10-242
SurveyUSA2004-10-173
SurveyUSA2004-10-032
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Missouri Governor race?
Matt Blunt (R) won, by about 3.0 points (R+3.0).
When was the 2004 Missouri Governor election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.