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Toss-up · 2004 House
Connecticut House
In the 2004 Connecticut House race, Christopher H. Shays (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.9
Final polls said
R+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Connecticut | R+5.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Connecticut2004-10-270
University of Connecticut2004-10-123
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Connecticut House race?
Christopher H. Shays (R) won, by about 4.9 points (R+4.9).
When was the 2004 Connecticut House election held?
It was held in November 2004.