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Toss-up · 2004 House
Connecticut House
In the 2004 Connecticut House race, Christopher H. Shays (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.9
Final polls said
R+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Connecticut | R+5.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Connecticut2004-10-270
University of Connecticut2004-10-123
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Connecticut House race?
Christopher H. Shays (R) won, by about 4.9 points (R+4.9).
When was the 2004 Connecticut House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.