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Toss-up · 2004 House
Delaware House
In the 2004 Delaware House race, Michael N. Castle (R) won by about 39 points.
Actual result
R+39.4
Final polls said
R+46.5
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Chester University | R+46.5 | 7.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
West Chester University2004-09-247
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Delaware House race?
Michael N. Castle (R) won, by about 39.4 points (R+39.4).
When was the 2004 Delaware House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.