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Toss-up · 2004 House
Illinois House
In the 2004 Illinois House race, Gerald C. Weller (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.3
Final polls said
R+9.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bannon Communications Research | R+9.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+32.0 | 14.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Bannon Communications Research2004-10-158
Bannon Communications Research2004-09-263
Public Opinion Strategies2004-09-1415
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Illinois House race?
Gerald C. Weller (R) won, by about 17.3 points (R+17.3).
When was the 2004 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.