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Toss-up · 2004 House
Illinois House
In the 2004 Illinois House race, Melissa Bean (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.4
Final polls said
R+5.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GQR | R+2.0 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | Normington, Petts & Associates | R+2.0 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Victory Research | R+8.0 | 11.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Victory Research2004-10-3011
GQR2004-10-265
Normington, Petts & Associates2004-10-065
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Illinois House race?
Melissa Bean (D) won, by about 3.4 points (D+3.4).
When was the 2004 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2004.