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Toss-up · 2004 House
Illinois House
In the 2004 Illinois House race, Melissa Bean (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.4
Final polls said
R+5.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GQR | R+2.0 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | Normington, Petts & Associates | R+2.0 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Victory Research | R+8.0 | 11.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Victory Research2004-10-3011
GQR2004-10-265
Normington, Petts & Associates2004-10-065
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Illinois House race?
Melissa Bean (D) won, by about 3.4 points (D+3.4).
When was the 2004 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.