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Toss-up · 2004 House
Kentucky House
In the 2004 Kentucky House race, Albert Ben Chandler (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+12.3
Final polls said
D+7.9
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville Courier-Journal | D+9.8 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+8.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-02-144
SurveyUSA2004-02-086
Louisville Courier-Journal2004-02-072
SurveyUSA2004-01-252
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Kentucky House race?
Albert Ben Chandler (D) won, by about 12.3 points (D+12.3).
When was the 2004 Kentucky House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.