← all past elections
Toss-up · 2004 House
Louisiana House
In the 2004 Louisiana House race, Charlie Melancon (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.5
Final polls said
D+4.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impact Research | D+4.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Tarrance Group | R+7.0 | 7.5 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Tarrance Group2004-11-098
Impact Research2004-11-084
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Louisiana House race?
Charlie Melancon (D) won, by about 0.5 points (D+0.5).
When was the 2004 Louisiana House election held?
It was held in November 2004.