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Toss-up · 2004 House
Montana House
In the 2004 Montana House race, Denny Rehberg (R) won by about 32 points.
Actual result
R+31.6
Final polls said
R+35.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+35.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-193
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-09-217
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Montana House race?
Denny Rehberg (R) won, by about 31.6 points (R+31.6).
When was the 2004 Montana House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.