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Toss-up · 2004 House
North Dakota House
In the 2004 North Dakota House race, Earl Pomeroy (D) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
D+19.1
Final polls said
D+30.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota State University Moorhead Public Affairs Institute | D+30.0 | 10.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Minnesota State University Moorhead Public Affairs Institute2004-10-1811
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 North Dakota House race?
Earl Pomeroy (D) won, by about 19.1 points (D+19.1).
When was the 2004 North Dakota House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.