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Toss-up · 2004 House
Nebraska House
In the 2004 Nebraska House race, Jeff Fortenberry (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+11.2
Final polls said
R+5.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSR Group | R+6.0 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | R+5.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | RKM Research and Communications Inc. | R+4.0 | 7.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
MSR Group2004-10-195
RKM Research and Communications Inc.2004-10-177
GQR2004-09-156
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Nebraska House race?
Jeff Fortenberry (R) won, by about 11.2 points (R+11.2).
When was the 2004 Nebraska House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.