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Toss-up · 2004 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2004 New Hampshire House race, Charles Bass (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+20.1
Final polls said
R+22.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+18.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-302
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-267
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Hampshire House race?
Charles Bass (R) won, by about 20.1 points (R+20.1).
When was the 2004 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.