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Toss-up · 2004 House
New Hampshire House
In the 2004 New Hampshire House race, Charles Bass (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+20.1
Final polls said
R+22.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | R+18.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMiss
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGrade B10-302004-10-302
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGrade B10-262004-10-267
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Hampshire House race?
Charles Bass (R) won, by about 20.1 points (R+20.1).
When was the 2004 New Hampshire House election held?
It was held in November 2004.