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Toss-up · 2004 House
Nevada House
In the 2004 Nevada House race, Jon C. Porter (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.1
Final polls said
R+14.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belden Russonello | R+17.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+10.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+3.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-264
Belden Russonello2004-10-183
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-171
Belden Russonello2004-09-247
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2004-09-1411
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Nevada House race?
Jon C. Porter (R) won, by about 14.1 points (R+14.1).
When was the 2004 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.