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Toss-up · 2004 House
Nevada House
In the 2004 Nevada House race, Jon C. Porter (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.1
Final polls said
R+14.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belden Russonello | R+17.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+10.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | R+3.0 | 11.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-264
Belden Russonello2004-10-183
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-171
Belden Russonello2004-09-247
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2004-09-1411
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Nevada House race?
Jon C. Porter (R) won, by about 14.1 points (R+14.1).
When was the 2004 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2004.