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Toss-up · 2004 House
Utah House
In the 2004 Utah House race, Jim Matheson (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+11.5
Final polls said
D+12.9
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Jones & Associates | D+10.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Valley Research | D+5.6 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Impact Research | D+23.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Dan Jones & Associates2004-10-252
Valley Research2004-10-236
Impact Research2004-10-2011
Dan Jones & Associates2004-10-0120
Valley Research2004-09-2613
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Utah House race?
Jim Matheson (D) won, by about 11.5 points (D+11.5).
When was the 2004 Utah House election held?
It was held in November 2004.