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Toss-up · 2004 House
Utah House
In the 2004 Utah House race, Chris Cannon (R) won by about 31 points.
Actual result
R+30.9
Final polls said
R+26.9
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+30.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Valley Research | R+23.7 | 7.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Dan Jones & Associates2004-10-251
Valley Research2004-10-237
Valley Research2004-09-266
Dan Jones & Associates2004-09-087
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Utah House race?
Chris Cannon (R) won, by about 30.9 points (R+30.9).
When was the 2004 Utah House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.