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Toss-up · 2004 House
Washington House
In the 2004 Washington House race, David G. Reichert (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+4.8
Final polls said
R+6.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+6.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lauer Johnson Research | D+2.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+16.0 | 11.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-251
SurveyUSA2004-10-161
SurveyUSA2004-09-277
Lauer Johnson Research2004-09-187
Public Opinion Strategies2004-09-0711
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Washington House race?
David G. Reichert (R) won, by about 4.8 points (R+4.8).
When was the 2004 Washington House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.