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Toss-up · 2004 President
Arkansas President
In the 2004 Arkansas President race, George W. Bush (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.8
Final polls said
R+3.6
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+8.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Arkansas Department of Political Science | R+7.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | R+7.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | R+5.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | R+3.2 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | American Research Group | R+3.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Opinion Research Associates | EVEN | 9.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-315
SurveyUSA2004-10-3010
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-282
Zogby Analytics2004-10-287
SurveyUSA2004-10-244
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Arkansas President race?
George W. Bush (R) won, by about 9.8 points (R+9.8).
When was the 2004 Arkansas President election held?
It was held in November 2004.