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Toss-up · 2004 President
M1 President
In the 2004 M1 President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+11.9
Final polls said
D+3.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 8.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-189
SurveyUSA2004-10-042
SurveyUSA2004-09-218
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 M1 President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 11.9 points (D+11.9).
When was the 2004 M1 President election held?
It was held in November 2004.