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Toss-up · 2004 President
M2 President
In the 2004 M2 President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.8
Final polls said
D+9.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+9.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-183
SurveyUSA2004-10-0415
SurveyUSA2004-09-2111
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 M2 President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 5.8 points (D+5.8).
When was the 2004 M2 President election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.