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Toss-up · 2004 President
M2 President
In the 2004 M2 President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.8
Final polls said
D+9.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+9.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-183
SurveyUSA2004-10-0415
SurveyUSA2004-09-2111
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 M2 President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 5.8 points (D+5.8).
When was the 2004 M2 President election held?
It was held in November 2004.