← all past elections
Toss-up · 2004 President
New Hampshire President
In the 2004 New Hampshire President race, John Kerry (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.4
Final polls said
D+2.6
13 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+1.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+1.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+2.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Lake Research Partners | EVEN | 1.4 | ✗ |
| 5 | American Research Group | R+1.0 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 6 | Zogby Analytics | D+4.5 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Suffolk University | D+5.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | Becker Institute | D+6.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 9 | Franklin Pierce University Marlin Fitzwater Center for Communication | D+7.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
23 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
American Research Group2004-10-312
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2004-10-300
American Research Group2004-10-291
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2004-10-280
Zogby Analytics2004-10-283
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 New Hampshire President race?
John Kerry (D) won, by about 1.4 points (D+1.4).
When was the 2004 New Hampshire President election held?
It was held in November 2004.