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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Alaska Senate
In the 2004 Alaska Senate race, Lisa Murkowski (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+3.0
Final polls said
D+0.2
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+5.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Alaska Survey Research | D+1.6 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | D+4.0 | 7.0 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
McLaughlin & Associates2004-10-302
Global Strategy Group2004-10-187
Alaska Survey Research2004-10-165
Alaska Survey Research2004-09-306
Global Strategy Group2004-09-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Alaska Senate race?
Lisa Murkowski (R) won, by about 3.0 points (R+3.0).
When was the 2004 Alaska Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.