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Toss-up · 2004 Senate
Arkansas Senate
In the 2004 Arkansas Senate race, Blanche Lincoln (D) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
D+11.8
Final polls said
D+19.4
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Zogby Analytics | D+28.0 | 16.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Opinion Research Associates | D+36.0 | 24.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2004-10-312
SurveyUSA2004-10-301
SurveyUSA2004-10-247
Opinion Research Associates2004-10-1924
SurveyUSA2004-10-167
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Arkansas Senate race?
Blanche Lincoln (D) won, by about 11.8 points (D+11.8).
When was the 2004 Arkansas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2004.