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Toss-up · 2006 House
Connecticut House
In the 2006 Connecticut House race, Christopher H. Shays (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+3.4
Final polls said
R+0.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Connecticut | EVEN | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2 | RT Strategies | R+9.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+3.0 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 4 | The Polling Company Inc. | R+10.0 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Zogby Analytics | D+7.0 | 10.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zogby Analytics2006-10-2610
RT Strategies2006-10-256
University of Connecticut2006-10-193
Normington, Petts & Associates2006-10-116
The Polling Company Inc.2006-10-047
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Connecticut House race?
Christopher H. Shays (R) won, by about 3.4 points (R+3.4).
When was the 2006 Connecticut House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.