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Toss-up · 2006 House
Idaho House
In the 2006 Idaho House race, William T. Sali (R) won by about 5 points.
Actual result
R+5.2
Final polls said
D+1.0
2 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | R+6.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Lake Research Partners | R+6.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+2.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Greg Smith & Associates | D+4.0 | 9.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Greg Smith & Associates2006-10-299
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2006-10-243
RT Strategies2006-10-091
Lake Research Partners2006-09-251
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Idaho House race?
William T. Sali (R) won, by about 5.2 points (R+5.2).
When was the 2006 Idaho House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.