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Toss-up · 2006 House
Illinois House
In the 2006 Illinois House race, Melissa Bean (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+6.9
Final polls said
D+9.0
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RT Strategies | D+5.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Richard Day Research | D+3.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+16.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Market Shares Corp. | D+19.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+19.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-252
Richard Day Research2006-10-214
Market Shares Corp.2006-10-1612
Normington, Petts & Associates2006-10-119
RT Strategies2006-10-094
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Illinois House race?
Melissa Bean (D) won, by about 6.9 points (D+6.9).
When was the 2006 Illinois House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.