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Toss-up · 2006 House
Indiana House
In the 2006 Indiana House race, Brad Ellsworth (D) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
D+22.0
Final polls said
D+10.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana State University Department of Multidisciplinary Studies | D+23.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Polling Company Inc. | D+12.0 | 10.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | RT Strategies | D+10.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RT Strategies2006-10-2512
Indiana State University Department of Multidisciplinary Studies2006-10-091
The Polling Company Inc.2006-10-0410
Indiana State University Department of Multidisciplinary Studies2006-09-147
RT Strategies2006-09-0916
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Indiana House race?
Brad Ellsworth (D) won, by about 22.0 points (D+22.0).
When was the 2006 Indiana House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.