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Toss-up · 2006 House
Vermont House
In the 2006 Vermont House race, Peter Welch (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+8.7
Final polls said
D+7.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+8.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | D+11.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | D+3.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
GQR2006-10-082
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-09-241
American Research Group2006-09-136
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Vermont House race?
Peter Welch (D) won, by about 8.7 points (D+8.7).
When was the 2006 Vermont House election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.