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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Vermont Senate
In the 2006 Vermont Senate race, Bernard Sanders (I) won with 65.4% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+33.0.
Actual result
D+33.0
Final polls said
D+28.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+32.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+39.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | D+15.0 | 18.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-09-241
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2006-09-166
American Research Group2006-09-1318
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Vermont Senate race?
Bernard Sanders (I) won, with 65.4% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+33.0, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2006 Vermont Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.