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Toss-up · 2006 Senate
Vermont Senate
In the 2006 Vermont Senate race, Rich Tarrant (D) won by about 33 points.
Actual result
D+33.0
Final polls said
D+28.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+32.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+39.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | American Research Group | D+15.0 | 18.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2006-09-241
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2006-09-166
American Research Group2006-09-1318
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2006 Vermont Senate race?
Rich Tarrant (D) won, by about 33.0 points (D+33.0).
When was the 2006 Vermont Senate election held?
It was held in November 2006.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.